Reference

Stanley Zin (Stern School of Business - New York University - NBER), “Risk and ambiguity in models of business cycles”, Fédération des Banques Françaises Seminar, TSE, September 29, 2014, 12:30–14:00, room MF 323.

Abstract

We inject aggregate uncertainty --risk and ambiguity -- into an otherwise standard business cycle model and describe its consequences. We find that increases in uncertainty generally reduce consumption, but they do not account, in this model, for either the magnitude or the persistence of the most recent recession. We speculate about extensions that might do better along one or both dimensions.

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